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Space-Based Driven Approach to Hydrological Analysis of
Prospective Watersheds and Dams for Sustainable Irrigation in
Niger State, Nigeria
Dr. Rogers Rengje Danlami Gujahar, Dr. Emmanuel Omomoh, Dr. Sunday Nannim, Gyang Davou
Yusuf, Moses Omitunde Omirinde, Gwamzhi Ponsah Emmanuel
Zonal Advanced Space Technology Application Laboratory
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51583/IJLTEMAS.2026.150300020
Received: 11 March 2026; Accepted: 16 March 2026; Published: 02 April 2026
ABSTRACT
This study investigates the hydrological characteristics of prospective watersheds in Niger State, Nigeria, using
a space-based approach to support enhanced and sustainable irrigation agriculture. The methodology integrates
climatic and hydrological data to develop a comprehensive, data-rich framework for water resource management
within geo-hydrological units, supporting agricultural planning and environmental protection. The study
employs statistical computation of land resources using Sentinel-2 imagery in Google Earth Engine, along with
spatial analysis of hydrological systems using Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data for stream network analysis.
A Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) was applied to identify potential reservoir sites, incorporating
topography, stream order, catchment area, and slope as key criteria. Criteria weights were assigned using expert
judgment and a pairwise comparison approach, with topography and stream order receiving the highest weights
given their primary influence on water accumulation and flow routing.
The study delineated twenty-two (22) prospective watersheds as geo-hydrological units, ranging in size from
675.77 km² to 12,358.8 km². The circularity ratios indicate that more than 55% of the watersheds have values
between 0.4 and 0.5, suggesting irregular shape, moderate surface runoff, and high permeability, characteristics
consistent with structural controls from remnant tectonic features in the underlying crystalline rocks. Multiple
factors, including topography, land use, soil type, geology, and climate, influence the hydrological characteristics
of these watersheds. Stream networks display a dendritic pattern flowing predominantly NESW, parallel to the
Nigerian regional lineament, indicating structural control and confirming their role as conduits for groundwater
recharge. The failed triple-arm rifting system responsible for the Niger and Benue river valleys and sedimentary
basins has exerted significant structural influence on the region.
Niger State has an agricultural land area of approximately 25,361.27 km², which accounts for more than 80% of
the state's total land area, while water bodies cover 460.51 km², indicating substantial irrigation potential. The
prospective water reservoirs identified in this study have the combined capacity to irrigate more than 22,000 km²
of agricultural land. Specifically, the Shiroro and Zungeru Dams can irrigate 2,642.41 km² of agricultural land
within their basins, while the Kainji and Jebba Dams have the capacity to irrigate approximately 7,000 km² and
4,000 km², respectively. The study recommends effective multi-sectoral collaboration, participatory planning,
integrated management, and adaptive strategies to sustainably manage these prospective watersheds, with the
overarching goal of balancing ecological, economic, and social needs through integrated land and water resource
management in support of SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) and SDG 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation).
Keywords: hydrological analysis, watershed delineation, dam siting, irrigation agriculture, geospatial
technology, multi-criteria decision analysis, Niger State, sustainability.
INTRODUCTION
Watersheds and dams are integral to the effectiveness and sustainability of irrigation systems. Their role in
providing reliable water supply, preserving soil health, and supporting effective water management is critical for
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agricultural productivity. Nigeria possesses substantial prospective watersheds and dams that remain largely
underutilized (Shanono et al., 2024). Identifying these potential watersheds is a necessary precondition before
implementing planning interventions for agricultural development (Pushkar et al., 2016). These watersheds and
dams also benefit ecosystems by ensuring consistent water management, enhancing food security, and promoting
sustainable irrigation agriculture. However, the scarcity of comprehensive watershed and dam data has
significant global implications for irrigation agriculture and food security, particularly in developing countries.
Fundamental land and water resource management principles, including watershed development and catchment-
level planning, should be prioritized to ensure Nigeria's environmental and agricultural sustainability. Geospatial
approaches that integrate remote sensing and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are essential for evaluating,
characterizing, and managing watersheds to achieve sustainable irrigated agriculture. This methodology
combines climatic, hydrological, and socioeconomic data into a comprehensive, geographically accurate, and
data-rich framework for water management, agricultural planning, and environmental protection. From a
geospatial perspective, analysing a watershed's hydrological properties is vital for effective water collection and
management for food production. Niger State has abundant land and water resources and hosts a large number
of potential watersheds, also known as geo-hydrological units, that are suitable for irrigation agriculture (Adeniyi
et al., 2023). These watersheds vary considerably in size, shape, and structure, ranging from small, localized
catchments to vast river basins covering entire regions. Their hydrological characteristics are influenced by land
use, soil type, geology, topography, and climate. Niger State has distinct hydrological characteristics that
differentiate it from other states in Nigeria. The state is defined by two major river systems: the Niger River,
which forms its southern boundary, and the Kaduna River, which traverses the eastern portion. The Niger River,
Africa's third-longest river, flows through the state for approximately 630 kilometres, creating a natural boundary
with Kebbi State and forming the expansive Kainji Lake, covering over 1,300 square kilometres. The Kaduna
River, a major tributary of the Niger, travels approximately 210 kilometres through the state's eastern districts
before joining the Niger River near Pategi (Niger State Ministry of Water Resources, 2023). These river systems
and their tributaries form extensive floodplains, wetlands, and stream networks that drain into the River Niger,
which flows through the NigerBenue confluence at Lokoja before reaching the Niger Delta. Recognizing the
enormous, untapped potential of these water resources, this study aims to identify and characterize prospective
watersheds in Niger State using geospatial technologies as a prerequisite for evidence-based planning
interventions for agricultural development, in alignment with SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) and SDG 6 (Clean Water
and Sanitation) (Panjala et al., 2023).
Study Area
Niger State, located in Nigeria's north-central region, is one of the largest states by land area. The state covers
approximately 76,363 square kilometres and lies between latitudes 8°20'N and 11°30'N, and longitudes 3°30'E
and 7°20'E. It accounts for approximately 8.3% of Nigeria's total land area (National Bureau of Statistics [NBS],
2023). As shown in Figure 1, the state shares borders with Zamfara and Kebbi States to the north, Kaduna State
and the Federal Capital Territory to the east, Kogi and Kwara States to the south, and the Republic of Benin to
the west, positioning it as a strategic gateway between northern and southern Nigeria (Niger State Government
[NSG], 2023).
Figure 1: The Study Area (Niger State)
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Rainfall Distribution and Patterns
Niger State experiences significant spatial variation in precipitation. As revealed in Figure 2, the southeastern
region receives the highest rainfall, reaching up to 39.4 cm, while the northern and northwestern portions record
lower precipitation levels of approximately 25.2 cm. This northsouth rainfall gradient reflects the state's
position in Nigeria's Middle Belt region, where the humid southern climate transitions into the drier Sahelian
conditions of the north. Annual rainfall ranges from 1,100 mm in the northern areas to 1,600 mm in the southern
regions (Nigerian Meteorological Agency [NIMET], 2023), with precipitation concentrated between April and
October. Peak rainfall typically occurs in August and September, when monthly totals can exceed 250 mm in
the wettest areas. The state's southern districts benefit from their proximity to moisture-laden air masses from
the Atlantic Ocean, which results in longer rainy seasons and higher annual precipitation totals.
Figure 2: Distribution of Annual Rainfall in Niger State
Relative Humidity
The relative humidity across Niger State ranges from 37.0% in the driest areas to 94.7% in the most humid zones
(Figure 3). The highest humidity levels are concentrated along river valleys and in the southeastern region, where
they create distinct microclimates favourable for specific vegetation types and agricultural practices. Humidity
fluctuations follow the seasonal precipitation cycle, with peak levels occurring during the rainy season (June to
September), when atmospheric moisture content remains consistently high. During this period, morning
humidity commonly exceeds 80% across most of the state. Conversely, the Harmattan season brings extremely
dry conditions, with humidity levels frequently dropping below 40% (NIMET, 2023), leading to increased
evapotranspiration, water stress for crops, and respiratory discomfort among residents.
Figure 3: Relative Humidity of Niger State
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Temperature Variation
Figure 4 presents the temperature distribution across Niger State, which ranges from 24.0°C in cooler highland
pockets to 37.2°C in the hottest zones. The temperature pattern exhibits an inverse relationship with elevation:
elevated areas, particularly in the central region, display slightly cooler temperatures than surrounding lowlands.
Average temperatures fluctuate between 22°C and 36°C throughout the year (NIMET, 2023), with marked
seasonal variations. The hottest period spans from March to May, immediately preceding the onset of the rainy
season, when maximum temperatures regularly exceed 35°C and occasionally approach 40°C in the northern
districts. The relatively cooler period occurs during the Harmattan season (November to February), when
nighttime temperatures can fall to 15°C, producing a significant diurnal temperature range that affects both
agricultural activities and human wellbeing.
Figure 4: Distribution of Annual Temperature in Niger State
Geological Setting
Niger State is underlain predominantly by the Nigerian Basement Complex, consisting of Precambrian igneous
and metamorphic rocks covering approximately 65% of the state's area (Nigerian Geological Survey Agency
[NGSA], 2021). This basement is characterized by granites, gneisses, migmatites, and schists dating to the Pan-
African orogeny. Some areas are overlain by sedimentary formations: the Bida Basin, a northwest-trending
depression filled with Cretaceous to Tertiary sediments including sandstones, siltstones, claystones, and
ironstones, underlies parts of the northeast, while the Sokoto Basin, present in smaller portions of the northwest,
features limestone and shale formations (Federal Ministry of Mines and Steel Development, 2022).
The state's topography features expansive plains, occasional hills, and inselbergs, with elevations ranging from
150 meters in the Kaduna River valley to over 650 meters in the highlands near Kagara (NGSA, 2021). This
varied topography influences local drainage patterns, agricultural potential, and settlement distribution.
Significant mineral deposits include tantalite, gold, talc, iron ore, and feldspar, contributing to the state's
economic base (Ministry of Solid Minerals Development, 2022).
The soils of Niger State reflect the diversity of parent materials, topography, and climate, with the most
productive agricultural soils found in the floodplains of major rivers and their tributaries (Niger State Ministry
of Agriculture, 2023).
Structurally, the area has been significantly influenced by the tectonic tensions associated with the failed triple-
arm rifting system, which led to the formation of the Niger and Benue river valleys and their associated
sedimentary basins. These structural controls are expressed in the elongated shape of many watersheds and the
NESW orientation of stream networks, which correspond to major lineaments in the Nigerian Basement
Complex (NGSA, 2021).
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Topography
Niger State presents a diverse topography that transitions dramatically across its extent, from undulating northern
plains and plateaus to more rugged southern terrain (Figure 5). The southwestern border features the Niger River
carving a fertile valley with lush floodplains contrasting against drier savannah regions, while the central portions
showcase rolling hills with isolated inselbergs and dramatic rock formations, particularly around Zuma Rock.
This elevation gradient generates diverse ecosystems ranging from lowland forests and wetlands near major
rivers, to savannah woodlands at middle elevations, and sparser vegetation in the higher northeastern regions.
These topographic variations ultimately influence the state's ecological zones and agricultural practices.
Figure 5: Elevation Map of Niger State
Hydrological Characteristics
Niger State's hydrology is defined by two major river systems: the Niger River, which forms its southern
boundary, and the Kaduna River, which traverses the eastern portion of the state. These rivers and their tributaries
create extensive floodplains that support agricultural activities and provide opportunities for fishing and
transportation (Niger State Ministry of Water Resources, 2023). Other significant water bodies include the
Gbako, Gurara, and Chanchaga Rivers, which collectively form a dense drainage network across the state (Niger
State Hydrological Services Agency, 2022). The Kainji and Shiroro hydroelectric dams, situated on the Niger
and Kaduna Rivers respectively, represent major water infrastructure with significant irrigation and power
generation potential (Niger State Ministry of Environment, 2022).
METHODOLOGY
Data Acquisition
This research commenced with comprehensive data acquisition for Niger State, Nigeria. High-resolution satellite
imagery, Digital Elevation Models (DEMs), and existing geospatial datasets, including annual temperature,
rainfall, and humidity data, were obtained from multiple sources, primarily USGS Earth Explorer, Copernicus
Open Access Hub, and Google Earth Engine. These datasets were subsequently processed using ArcGIS 10.8
software. Different satellite image scenes were mosaicked into a single composite image to cover the full spatial
extent of the study area. Band combination was then applied to produce a false colour composite for land cover
classification. All spatial datasets were standardized to the UTM projection (Zone 32N) and resampled to a
uniform 30-meter spatial resolution to facilitate seamless integration. A structured geodatabase was established
to maintain data integrity throughout the analytical process, with appropriate metadata documentation for each
layer. This initial preparation stage was critical for ensuring spatial and temporal consistency across the diverse
datasets from varied sources and collection periods. The overall analytical workflow is illustrated in Figure 6.
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Figure 6: Flow Chart of Research Methodology
Climatic Data Analysis
The climate variable mapping phase focused on visualizing three critical parameters: relative humidity, rainfall
distribution, and temperature patterns. Relative humidity was derived from satellite-based atmospheric moisture
data, which was processed and spatially interpolated using the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method to
generate a continuous surface across the study area.
The resulting map revealed significant spatial variation, with humidity values ranging from 37.0% in central
regions to 94.7% along specific western boundaries and waterways, reflecting microclimatic differences driven
by topography, vegetation cover, and proximity to water bodies. The rainfall distribution map was generated by
processing precipitation data from multiple meteorological stations on Google Earth Engine, interpolated and
validated against historical records from NIMET.
This analysis revealed notable precipitation gradients across the state, with distinct wet and dry zones
corresponding to topographic features and regional climatic patterns. Temperature distribution was mapped
using thermal infrared bands from satellite imagery, revealing thermal hotspots and cooler zones that correlate
with both natural landscape features and anthropogenic influences.
Land Use and Land Cover Analysis
Land cover classification was performed using a supervised maximum likelihood classification technique
applied to multi-spectral satellite imagery. Training samples were carefully selected for each land cover category
based on field data and high-resolution reference imagery. The classification identified eight distinct Land
Use/Land Cover (LULC) classes: forest, shrubland, grassland, agricultural land, built-up areas, water bodies,
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wetlands, and rock outcrops. This detailed categorization enabled comprehensive landscape characterization
essential for understanding hydrological processes and watershed dynamics. Post-classification refinement
included majority filtering and contextual correction to minimize salt-and-pepper noise effects. Accuracy
assessment was conducted using a confusion matrix against independent validation points, yielding an overall
classification accuracy of 87% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.83. The final LULC map clearly illustrated the
dominance of agricultural land across Niger State.
Hydrological Analysis and Watershed Delineation
Watershed delineation followed a systematic approach grounded in hydrological modelling principles. A
hydrologically corrected DEM was first prepared by filling sinks and removing surface imperfections to create
a continuous flow surface accurately representing the terrain. Flow direction and flow accumulation analyses
were then performed to identify natural drainage patterns and stream networks. Watershed boundaries were
delineated based on topographic divides identified from the corrected DEM, with pour points defined at locations
of concentrated flow accumulation corresponding to dam sites or natural outlets.
Drainage density calculations provided quantitative metrics for comparative analysis, revealing areas of high
surface runoff potential, which were visualized through a multi-tiered intensity classification. Watersheds were
further characterized based on morphometric parameters including slope, permeability, stream density, and
circularity ratio. Potential reservoir sites were identified through a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)
that incorporated topographic suitability, stream order, catchment area, and proximity to settlements as
evaluation criteria.
Criteria weights were assigned using a pairwise comparison matrix based on expert judgment, with topography
and stream order receiving the highest relative weights of 0.35 and 0.30, respectively, given their primary
influence on water accumulation and flow dynamics. Each candidate site was evaluated using the resulting
weighted scoring system, and sites with the most favourable combinations of these factors were selected as
prospective reservoir locations.It is important to acknowledge the limitations associated with the remote sensing
data and modelling approach used in this study.
The 30-meter resolution DEM may not capture fine-scale topographic features, which could introduce minor
errors in watershed boundary delineation, particularly in low-relief areas. Additionally, the LULC classification
was not validated with ground-truth surveys in all sub-regions, and the MCDA weights, while grounded in
hydrological principles, carry an element of subjectivity. Future research should incorporate field validation,
ground-truthing of classified maps, and integration of socioeconomic data to enhance the comprehensiveness
and accuracy of the watershed management framework.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Watersheds and Natural Resources in the Study Area
The study identified twenty-two (22) geo-hydrological units (watersheds) distributed across the study area,
ranging in size from 675.77 km² to 12,358.8 km² (Tables 2 and 3). Identifying appropriate watersheds is a
prerequisite for implementing evidence-based planning interventions for sustainable agricultural development.
Figure 7 presents the spatial extent of existing dams and the distribution of stream networks across the identified
watersheds.
As shown in Table 1, agricultural land covers 25,361.27 km², accounting for more than 80% of the total land
area of Niger State. Water bodies cover 460.51 km², confirming the availability of water resources for irrigation
agriculture. The existing dams are located at Kainji, Jebba, and Shiroro, with the Zungeru Dam positioned to the
west of Shiroro. A wetland area of 100.29 km² presents additional potential for rice cultivation. Rock outcrops
play a significant role in shaping several hydrological variables in the study area. This pattern is not unique to
Niger State but is characteristic of Nigeria's north-central region, where crystalline Basement Complex outcrop
and their underlying structural features have consistently influenced the formation and behaviour of hydrological
systems.
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Figure 7: Spatial Distribution of Natural Resources in Niger State
Table 1: Natural Resources of Niger State
S/N
Land Cover Class
Area (km²)
1
Forest
5,176.08
2
Shrubland
9,505.86
3
Grassland
8,056.98
4
Agricultural Land
25,361.27
5
Built-up
482.68
6
Bare Surface
137.74
7
Water Bodies
460.51
8
Wetland
100.29
Watersheds and Potential Water Reservoirs
In geo-hydrological units, water flows downslope through a network of streams to common outlets, distributing
flow to rivers and reservoirs. Figures 8 and 9 present the spatial distribution of pour points (potential dam sites)
and the twenty-two (22) delineated watersheds identified as prospective water reservoirs within the study area.
The stream networks exhibit a dendritic pattern flowing predominantly from NE to SW, an orientation consistent
with Nigerian regional lineaments, confirming that flow patterns are structurally controlled by the underlying
geology. Understanding these morphometric and structural parameters provides valuable insights into water flow
behaviour, watershed storage capacity, and groundwater recharge dynamics. Land use, soil type, geology,
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topography, and climate collectively characterize each watershed in Niger State and influence its hydrological
response.
Figure 8: Delineated Watersheds for Irrigation Agriculture in Niger State
Figure 9: Potential Water Reservoirs for Irrigation Agriculture in Niger State
Watersheds and Potential Water Reservoirs in the Western Part of Niger State
Figure 10 illustrates the geo-hydrological units in the western region of Niger State, showing how water flows
downhill through stream networks into rivers and reservoirs. Figure 11 depicts the distribution of natural
resources in this region, where agricultural land accounts for more than 80% of the total area. This region
contains ten (10) potential water reservoirs for irrigation. Watershed B7 (the Kainji watershed), with geo-
hydrological unit code B7, occupies the largest area at 12,358.88 km² (approximately 1.24 million hectares), as
shown in Figure 12 and Table 2. The Kainji Dam extends into the southern section of Kebbi State. Watershed
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B2, with a geographical extent of 675.77 km² (approximately 67,577 hectares), is the smallest in this region and
is designated as a macro-watershed.
The shape of a watershed influences the rate of surface runoff and infiltration within the basin. As shown in
Table 2, circularity ratios for this western group range considerably, with Watershed B7 recording a value of
1.553 and Watershed B8 recording 0.556, both lying above the moderate threshold of 0.5. Watersheds with
circularity ratios greater than 0.5 exhibit more compact, near-circular shapes, which tend to generate faster and
more concentrated runoff, shorter water travel times, and greater susceptibility to flood peaks. In contrast, the
majority of watersheds in this region display circularity ratios below 0.4, reflecting elongated, irregular shapes
associated with lower runoff intensity and higher infiltration rates. These shape characteristics, combined with
the elongated drainage patterns, indicate structural controls likely arising from remnant tectonic structures within
the underlying crystalline Basement Complex rocks.
Figure 10: Kainji Dam and Potential Water Reservoirs in the Western Part of Niger State
Table 2: Morphometric Statistics of the Western Watersheds (B-Series)
S/N
Shape Length (m)
Area (km²)
Circularity Ratio
1
207,992.68
1,385.92
0.174
2
151,689.27
675.77
0.085
3
180,605.78
991.83
0.125
4
281,073.90
1,553.23
0.195
5
317,270.90
2,183.99
0.274
6
207,117.28
1,220.77
0.153
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7
717,063.22
12,358.88
1.553
8
410,609.76
4,427.76
0.556
9
159,971.40
876.48
0.110
10
321,508.92
3,356.71
0.422
Figure 11: Kainji Dam and its Tributaries, Western Part of Niger State
Watersheds and Potential Water Reservoirs in the Eastern Part of Niger State
Figures 12 and 13 represent the geo-hydrological units in the eastern region of Niger State, showing the flow of
water through stream networks into rivers and reservoirs. Figure 14 depicts the distribution of natural resources,
with agricultural land again accounting for more than 80% of the total area. This region contains twelve (12)
potential water reservoirs for irrigation, labelled A1 to A12 (Figure 14 and Table 3). The watershed size variation
is captured through geo-hydrological unit codes (A1A12 and B1B10), which are delimited based on
hydrological characteristics most relevant to each sub-region. Land use, soil type, geology, topography, and
climate are additional factors that characterize each watershed and influence its hydrological behaviour.
The streams in this region display a dendritic network that flows predominantly NESW, consistent with the
Nigerian regional lineament, confirming structural control over drainage patterns and confirming the role of
stream networks as conduits for groundwater recharge. The watershed with geo-hydrological unit code A6 has
the largest extent at 4,037.42 km², while Watershed A12 has the smallest extent at 1,414.42 km². The variation
in watershed shape is attributed to surface topography, land cover types, climate, geology, and soil
characteristics, all of which influence the rates of surface runoff and infiltration within each basin. Two (2) of
the twelve (12) watersheds had circularity ratios slightly above 0.5, two (2) had ratios between 0.4 and 0.5, and
the remaining seven (7) had ratios below 0.4 (Table 3), consistent with the structurally elongated drainage
patterns observed across the study area.
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Figure 12: Potential Water Reservoirs in the Eastern Part of Niger State
Table 3: Morphometric Statistics of the Eastern Watersheds (A-Series)
S/No
Shape Length (m)
Area (km²)
Geohydrological Unit
Circularity Ratio
1
187,342.92
1,307.51
Watershed A1
0.164
2
350,460.71
3,294.51
Watershed A2
0.414
3
307,437.26
3,062.49
Watershed A3
0.385
4
498,980.91
4,335.73
Watershed A4
0.545
5
318,658.33
2,455.58
Watershed A5
0.309
6
488,610.36
4,037.42
Watershed A6
0.507
7
248,325.00
2,096.77
Watershed A7
0.264
8
383,412.31
3,292.47
Watershed A8
0.414
9
247,383.82
2,046.55
Watershed A9
0.257
10
460,562.72
2,721.18
Watershed A10
0.342
11
314,448.28
2,131.45
Watershed A11
0.268
12
223,740.10
1,414.42
Watershed A12
0.178
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Figure 13: Dams and Potential Water Reservoirs in the Eastern Part of Niger State
Figure 14: Distribution of Natural Resources in the Eastern Part of Niger State
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Hydrological Characteristics of the Shiroro and Zungeru Dam Watersheds
The Shiroro and Zungeru Dam watersheds (Figure 15) comprise six principal hydrological components: (1) the
catchment area, defined by the topographic ridgeline that bounds all contributing land; (2) the continuous
ridgeline forming the watershed divide; (3) the stream network that collects and routes water from primary and
tributary streams to the outlet; (4) the outlet or pour point where discharge is measured; (5) the floodplain
adjacent to the primary stream; and (6) the groundwater recharge zones associated with fracture systems in the
underlying geology.
The majority of rivers in these watersheds flow in a NESW direction, with a minority adopting a SENW
orientation. The volume of water that drains to the outlet is directly proportional to the size and discharge
capacity of the primary stream. Hydrological characteristics are governed by land use, soil types, geology,
topography, and climate. The Shiroro Dam is a rock-filled, concrete-faced dam standing 115 meters high and
700 meters in length, with a reservoir holding capacity of approximately 7 billion cubic meters of water, covering
a surface area of 34 km². Groundwater recharge is facilitated by the fracture systems in the crystalline basement
rocks and by vegetation that intercepts precipitation, reducing surface runoff and promoting infiltration into the
groundwater system. Based on stream order analysis, streams in the area can be classified as: influent streams
(where streamflow recharges groundwater), effluent streams (where groundwater discharges into streams),
perennial streams, intermittent streams, and ephemeral streams (which run only during or immediately after
rainfall events).
Figure 15: Catchment of Shiroro and Zungeru Dams in Niger State
Spatial Distribution of Natural Resources in the Shiroro and Zungeru Dam Watersheds
Figure 16 and Table 4 present the distribution of land resources and their area coverage within the Shiroro and
Zungeru Dam watershed. Agricultural land occupies 2,642.41 km² (264,241 hectares), making it the dominant
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land cover class. A wetland area of 42.48 km² has potential for rice cultivation. Together, the Shiroro and
Zungeru Dams, along with several perennial rivers within the watershed, have the combined capacity to irrigate
2,642.41 km² of cultivated land.
Surface topography exerts a significant influence on stream flow within the watershed. Steep sub-catchments
drain rapidly to the main channel, whereas flat terrain produces slower, more uniform drainage responses. Soil
properties and the fracture system also regulate stream flow by influencing infiltration rates and baseflow
contributions. Vegetation, which varies according to the soil types developed on different rock outcrops, plays
a critical role in moderating runoff and promoting groundwater recharge. Since the stream networks are
structurally controlled, both surface and groundwater systems are likely to share similar characteristics and
orientations, both influenced by geology and topography in the crystalline terrain.
Figure 16: Spatial Distribution of Natural Resources in the Shiroro and Zungeru Dam Watersheds
Table 4: Distribution of Natural Resources in the Shiroro and Zungeru Dam Watershed (km²)
S/N
Land Cover Class
Area (km²)
1
Forest
969.45
2
Shrubland
1,432.16
3
Grassland
1,230.52
4
Agricultural Land
2,642.41
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5
Built-up
31.18
6
Bare Surface
44.56
7
Water Bodies
171.10
8
Wetland
42.48
Watersheds Management Plan for Sustainable Irrigation Agriculture
Watershed management is a comprehensive approach to managing land and water resources within a defined
geo-hydrological unit. Its goal is the sustainable use and protection of natural resources, balancing ecological,
economic, and social needs through integrated land and water resource management, encompassing land, water,
vegetation, and socioeconomic dimensions. The management objective is to promote conservation,
rehabilitation, and appropriate utilization of natural resources while meeting the aspirations of local
communities.
With twenty-two (22) macro-watersheds identified, the management framework proposed for this study adopts
a holistic approach that integrates soil and water conservation, afforestation, agronomical best practices,
livestock management, renewable energy development, and institutional capacity building to achieve long-term,
environmentally sustainable outcomes. The watershed management plan will be guided by the following
principles: participatory stakeholder approaches, integrated planning across sectors, management of watersheds
as geo-hydrological units, adaptive management in response to monitoring data, and sustainable resource use.
The identification and potential utilization of these watersheds has far-reaching consequences for the
surrounding regions. Watersheds that drain directly into the Benue River, in particular, can help mitigate the
perennial flooding along its banks, flooding that currently extends westward to the confluence and southward
toward the Niger Delta. Controlled damming of these tributaries would provide greater regulation of flow
volumes in both the Benue and Niger River systems, offering relief during high-discharge events, particularly
when water is released from the Lagdo Dam in Cameroon.
Best practice in integrated watershed management typically includes participatory planning at both landscape
and micro scales, drawing on high-quality scientific data from field surveys, geospatial analysis, and earth
observation. Watershed planning in the study area should be supported by analytical approaches and the
development of a modern knowledge base incorporating existing in-situ data, satellite-derived information, and
biophysical surveys. Given the complex hydrological characteristics of the watersheds, a broad multisectoral
approach will be essential, including collaboration with agencies such as the World Bank (through the ACReSAL
Programme), the Federal Ministry of Water Resources, the Nigerian Hydrological Services Agency, the
Integrated Water Resources Management Agency, the Federal Ministry of Environment, and the Niger State
Government. Youdeowei et al. (2019) affirmed that effective watershed management requires a careful balance
between economic and environmental objectives, supported by a thorough analysis of all biophysical interactions
within the watershed system.
Comparative Analysis with Similar Research Studies
The findings of this study are consistent with and complementary to several comparable investigations. Hyungjin
Shin et al. (2024) conducted hydrological analysis of watersheds based on water utilization systems using the
Catchment Hydrological Analysis Tool (CHAT) model, and identified 27 agricultural reservoir watersheds, a
finding broadly consistent with the 22 macro-watersheds delineated in Niger State. Balasubramani (2024)
assessed watershed resources for sustainable agricultural development in India using geospatial technologies,
applying empirical and quantitative methods to characterize the spatial distribution of watershed resources,
highlighting the global relevance of geospatial approaches for water resource planning. Ebenezer et al. (2024)
demonstrated significant disparities in access to water sources across agricultural communities in semi-arid
Ghana, underscoring the importance of improved water infrastructure such as dams, reservoirs, and river access
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points, a challenge similarly addressed by the proposed watershed development strategy for Niger State.
Furthermore, Jankaro et al. (2023) conducted a GIS-based irrigation suitability evaluation of the LapaiAgaie
Irrigation Scheme in Niger State and found that 59.0% of the evaluated area is highly suitable for irrigation,
32.0% is moderately suitable, and 9.0% is marginally suitable, corroborating the substantial irrigation potential
identified in the present study.
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
1. The study identified twenty-two (22) potential water reservoirs in Niger State, with watershed sizes
ranging from 675.77 km² to 12,358.8 km².
2. Geo-hydrological units with a circularity ratio greater than 0.5 exhibit more compact shapes associated
with stronger and more concentrated runoff and moderate permeability.
3. More than 55% of watersheds in Niger State have circularity ratios between 0.4 and 0.5, indicative of
irregular, elongated shapes with moderate runoff and high permeability.
4. The stream networks display a dendritic pattern flowing predominantly NESW, corresponding to the
Nigerian regional lineament, confirming structural control and the role of these networks as
groundwater recharge conduits.
5. The principal structural control on watershed morphology is attributable to the tectonic tensions that
produced the failed triple-arm rifting system, which resulted in the Niger and Benue river valleys and
associated sedimentary basins.
6. Niger State has a large agricultural land area of approximately 25,361.27 km² (2.5 million hectares),
which is well-positioned for irrigation development given abundant water resources.
7. The prospective water reservoirs identified in this study have the combined capacity to irrigate more
than 22,000 km² of agricultural land in Niger State.
8. The Shiroro and Zungeru Dams can irrigate 2,642.41 km² of agricultural land in their combined basin,
making a significant contribution to food security.
9. The Kainji Dam watershed, encompassing ten (10) potential macro-watersheds, has the capacity to
irrigate approximately 7,000 km² of agricultural land.
10. The Jebba Dam has the potential to irrigate approximately 4,000 km² of agricultural land.
Limitations, Uncertainties, and Future Research Directions
Despite the robustness of the space-based approach employed in this study, several limitations and uncertainties
should be acknowledged. The 30-meter spatial resolution of the DEM data may limit the precision of watershed
boundary delineation and stream network extraction in areas of gentle or complex terrain. The Land Use/Land
Cover classification, while achieving an overall accuracy of 87%, was not validated with ground-truth data in
all sub-regions of the state, which may introduce localized classification errors. The MCDA criteria weights,
while grounded in established hydrological principles, carry an inherent element of subjectivity and were not
subjected to sensitivity analysis, which could affect the ranking of potential reservoir sites.
Furthermore, this study does not incorporate socioeconomic data, such as population density, land tenure, or
market access, which are critical for comprehensive watershed management planning. The absence of long-term
hydrological monitoring data (stream gauge records, sediment load measurements) limits the quantitative
estimation of reservoir storage capacity and irrigation water availability.
Future research should prioritize field-based validation of remotely sensed outputs, including ground-truthing of
watershed boundaries and land cover classifications. Integration of socioeconomic data with biophysical datasets
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through a participatory GIS framework would enhance the relevance and equity of watershed management plans.
Sensitivity analysis of the MCDA weights is recommended to assess the robustness of reservoir site rankings.
Long-term hydrological monitoring, including installation of stream gauges at key pour points, is essential for
calibrating and validating hydrological models, and for tracking changes in watershed behaviour under climate
variability and land use change.
CONCLUSION
The advent of space-based technology and its advanced geospatial tools has revolutionized watershed analysis
by enabling the acquisition, processing, and interpretation of spatial data at unprecedented scale and resolution.
This study demonstrates that a space-based, multi-criteria approach can effectively characterize the hydrological
properties of prospective watersheds and dam sites in Niger State, providing a sound data-driven foundation for
sustainable irrigation development. The twenty-two macro-watersheds delineated in this study represent
substantial, underutilized water resources with the combined potential to irrigate more than 22,000 km² of
agricultural land. The sustainable and well-planned utilization of these watersheds can invigorate agricultural
activity, increase the state's production of agro-allied products, expand agribusinesses, and ultimately enhance
food security in alignment with national development goals.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Based on the findings of this study, the following recommendations are made:
Government agencies and development partners should invest in cutting-edge watershed management
systems and irrigation infrastructure to support farming clusters in participating communities, thereby
enhancing Nigeria's food security and reducing dependence on imported staple foods.
A multi-sectoral stakeholder coordination mechanism, involving federal and state water resource
agencies, development banks, the private sector, and local communities, should be established to guide
the planning, financing, and operation of proposed reservoir and irrigation infrastructure.
Field validation campaigns should be undertaken to ground-truth the remotely sensed watershed
boundaries, land cover classifications, and potential reservoir sites identified in this study, ensuring the
accuracy and reliability of subsequent engineering designs.
Long-term hydrological monitoring networks, including stream gauging stations and rainfall
measurement systems, should be established at key locations within the identified watersheds to
support model calibration, water balance analysis, and adaptive management.
Socioeconomic and environmental impact assessments should be integrated into the watershed
management planning process to ensure that infrastructure development balances ecological
sustainability with the economic and social needs of local communities.
Watershed-based irrigation development can reduce rural-urban migration by creating economic
opportunities within local communities and help mitigate farmerherder conflicts by reducing pressure
on grazing lands and promoting structured land use planning.
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