INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF LATEST TECHNOLOGY IN ENGINEERING,
MANAGEMENT & APPLIED SCIENCE (IJLTEMAS)
ISSN 2278-2540 | DOI: 10.51583/IJLTEMAS | Volume XV, Issue IV, April 2026
Pipelines as a method for offtaking oil-based goods is associated with risk and difficulties. Pipelines come up
short in activity due to imperfections like breaks, corrosions, scratches, punctures, and so on, prompting harm
and holes on the pipeline coming about to tremendous downtime, cost, and natural dangers. These issues have
immense natural, financial, wellbeing and security impacts on the pipeline operators and host networks the same.
Awful inland and seaward mishaps credited to pipeline failures are main issues for operators, controllers, and
general society (Peekema, 2013). On many events they have brought about loss of lives for workers and host
networks with more than 2500 lives lost in a span of last 10 years (Okoli, 2019). During the lifecycle of a
pipeline, there are significant changes to forecast volumes due to decline in reservoir performance, shortage of
reservoir discoveries, divestment of production assets, etc. The pipeline asset could be exposed to “low flow”
condition (flow velocity <1m/s), which in aging pipelines become the precursor to asset failure due to
microbiologically induced corrosion (MIC). The MIC can be aggravated by under-deposit corrosion, which is
characterised by settling of suspended solids and precipitated phases (especially water accumulation at low spots)
at the bottom of the pipeline (Moloney, 2017).
The Nigerian oil & gas industry is threatened by the impact of low flow conditions to asset integrity due to oil
reservoir decline and lack of “big” reservoir finds due to insufficient funding caused by the sharp drop in oil
prices since the Covid-19 pandemic (Petroleum Economist, 2020). OPEC, in its 2019 annual statistical bulletin
stated that Nigeria’s crude oil reserves stood at 37.453 billion barrels in 2017 and 2016; 37.062 billion barrels
in 2015 and 37.448 billion barrels in 2014 (ASU, 2019). On February 20, 2020, the Department of Petroleum
Resources (DPR), were taken on record by The Economic confidential (2020) as saying in 49years, it is expected
that the Nigeria oil reserves would be significantly depleted. Both reports allude to the issue of low investments
in the Nigerian Oil and gas industry which would in turn drive a downturn in exploration which is required in
increasing reserve volumes. Probably the most serious issue confronting the pipeline business is the way that the
world's pipeline framework is maturing. As indicated by Achebe et al. (2012), 41% of Nigeria's pipeline network
is over 30 years of age. The vast pipelines joined with their different scope of activities, sizes, materials, age,
and natural impacts add to the perils related with the pipeline business. Regularly, these combined risks make
oil and gas pipeline security an exceptionally complicated process. Interestingly, a study conducted in 2011
(Okoro, 2011) arrived at a projected production profile (captured in Figure 1) for the Nigerian Oil and Gas
industry using the Hubbert’s oil prediction model which seem to agree with more recent predictions. This study
developed an asset integrity management strategy to ensure continuous safe operation of the 24-inch pipeline
case-study till its design end-of-life in 2025 and life-extension thereafter, despite low flow conditions and
associated ongoing MIC.
Figure 1: Hubbert's oil production curve showing Nigeria's likely oil peak (Okoro, 2011)
From figure 1 above, it can be predicted that with steady decline in reserves, the industry would operate aging
assets in low flow conditions which would require smart asset integrity management strategies to ensure
continued safe & profitable operations.
Studies have been conducted to understand the mechanism and impact of microbiologically induced corrosion
(MIC) on production assets as well as the various kinds of operational flow conditions and impact on production
assets (Askari, 2019). But this study looked at establishing the relationship between low flow conditions and